Download PDF by Max C. Y. Wong: Bubble Value at Risk: A Countercyclical Risk Management

By Max C. Y. Wong

Introduces a strong new method of monetary probability modeling with confirmed techniques for its real-world applications

The 2008 credits challenge did a lot to debunk the a lot touted powers of price in danger (VaR) as a chance metric. in contrast to such a lot authors on VaR who concentrate on what it might probably do, during this ebook the writer appears to be like at what it can't. In transparent, obtainable prose, finance practitioners, Max Wong, describes the VaR degree and what it was once intended to do, then explores its a variety of mess ups within the genuine international of problem chance administration. extra importantly, he lays out a innovative new approach to measuring dangers, Bubble price in danger, that's countercyclical and gives a well-tested buffer opposed to marketplace crashes.

  • Describes Bubble VaR, a extra macro-prudential hazard degree confirmed to prevent the restrictions of VaR and by way of delivering a extra exact threat publicity estimation over industry cycles
  • Makes a powerful case that analysts and probability managers have to unlearn our present "science" of chance size and become aware of extra powerful techniques to calculating threat capital
  • Illustrates each key thought or formulation with an abundance of functional, numerical examples, so much of them supplied in interactive Excel spreadsheets
  • Features various real-world functions, all through, in accordance with the author’s firsthand event as a veteran monetary probability analyst

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Bubble Value at Risk: A Countercyclical Risk Management Approach (Wiley Finance) by Max C. Y. Wong


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